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MSFT
Microsoft Corp.US· Technology$480.00📅 Earnings in 12d
Signal
Hold
Est. 12-month return
+3.6%
Confidence
44%
Model ensemble · 6 algorithms voting
| Model | Style | Signal | Est. 12m | Conf. | Why |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Multi-Factor | Factor investing (AQR) | Hold | +0.3% | 60% | Composite factor score 51/100 vs market average of 50. |
| Analyst Consensus | Sell-side research | Buy | +7.5% | 50% | Consensus target implies 13% upside (haircut for optimism). |
| Time-Series Momentum | Trend funds (Man AHL) | Buy | +6.2% | 60% | 12-month trend 18%, at 95% of 52w high. |
| Trend-Following (MA cross) | CTA / managed futures | Buy | +7.4% | 45% | Golden cross: price 13% vs 200-day average. |
| Mean Reversion (RSI/Bollinger) | Technical / contrarian | Hold | -2.2% | 40% | RSI 62, 0.5σ from mean — overbought, pullback risk. |
| Low-Volatility | Risk-premia (min-vol) | Hold | +1.2% | 40% | Annualized volatility 24% — calmer than average. |
Six independent models each vote with an expected return and confidence; the headline figure is their confidence-weighted blend (how quant funds combine uncorrelated signals). It is a modelled estimate, not a promise — markets are partly unpredictable, so treat a strong signal as a reason to research, never as a certainty.
Options flow · Options flow is a paid feed and is not configured. Set OPTIONS_FLOW_VENDOR (polygon | unusualwhales | tradier | cboe) and OPTIONS_FLOW_API_KEY, then run the options ingest.
Recent news
Headline sentiment:bullish(+0.67 · 3 headlines)Microsoft Corp shares rally as momentum builds into earnings
Sample Newswire · 6/3/2026
Analysts upgrade MSFT on strong growth outlook
Sample Newswire · 6/2/2026
Microsoft Corp tops quarterly estimates, raises guidance
Sample Newswire · 6/1/2026
Sentiment is a transparent finance-word lexicon score on the headline text only — a soft signal, not a recommendation.
Quant grades
graded vs 4 Technology peers · letter = percentile rankOverall
B+51
Value
B+37
Quality
B+60
Momentum
C+55
Growth
B+54
Valuation
Trailing P/E36.00
Forward P/E30.00
Price / Book12.00
Price / Sales13.00
EV / EBITDA24.00
Dividend Yield0.7%
Quality & Growth
Return on Equity35.0%
Profit Margin36.0%
Debt / Equity30.00
Earnings Growth (yoy)12.0%
Revenue Growth (yoy)14.0%
Momentum
3-month return6.0%
6-month return10.0%
12-month return18.0%
Price vs 52w high95.0%
Analyst
Mean target$540.00
Implied upside12.5%
Consensusbuy
Dividend scorecard
Yield
0.7%A+
vs market dividend payers
Safety
A
Based on D/E 30% · margin 36%. Growth/consistency need dividend history (not in this dataset).
Peer comparison
Technology · US · top by compositeFactor scores rank this stock against others in the same market. A high score means it screens well on that dimension today — it is a starting point for research, not a signal to buy. Always confirm the fundamentals and understand the business before investing.